Indiana presidential contest as close as everby Jim Pinkerton (jmpinkerton@wsbt.com)Republican presidential candidate, Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., and Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., shake hands at the conclusion of the presidential debate at the University of Mississippi in Oxford, Miss. Friday, Sept. 26, 2008. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert) SOUTH BEND — As Republicans begin airing ads in Indiana an exclusive WSBT / South Bend Tribune poll shows the race for president is as tight as ever. Democrat Barack Obama has spent millions in television advertising in the state. Our poll shows that may be paying off. The poll of 600 likely voters was conducted Monday and Tuesday, the same days that news coverage was filled with stories about the financial bailout. It shows one percentage point is all that separates John McCain from Barack Obama, well within the survey's margin of error. McCain has the lead among men — getting more than half of them. Obama gets almost half of the women. But there's one issue that's top for everyone. "Indiana has a high unemployment rate right now so they'll focus on issues like jobs and taxes rather than the bailout," said Elizabeth Bennion, IU South Bend political scientist. Our poll shows the economy, energy costs and taxes are the top concerns for Hoosiers. Both campaigns think that will help them. "They're asking who do I believe is actually going to protect my pocketbook, a maverick who has done this in Washington or a guy who has a liberal tax and spend record," said Jackie Walorski of the McCain campaign. "It's been an issue for a period of time, but it really has risen up in the intensity that people are paying attention to that. I think people are looking for change," said Steve Luecke of the Obama campaign. Obama's advertising in the state has tried to tie McCain to President Bush. Our poll shows 65 percent of all voters think the two are similar or very similar. The number jumps to 70 percent for the crucial independent voters. "With the president's approval rating where he can't get 1 in 3 voters to say they approve of the job he's doing, this would be a concern to the McCain campaign," Bennion said. And while the poll shows more than three quarters of those surveyed would vote for a black president, Bennion says there's reason for the Obama camp to be concerned. "You have 14 percent of people who aren't sure if they'll vote for an African American. In a tight race, that could be decisive and make the difference," Bennion said. Both campaigns say they'll be making a big push in October to mobilize voters. Pollster Del Ali told me he thinks McCain may have taken a bit of a hit in this poll because of his decision to suspend his campaign to work on the failed bailout bill in the House. Ali says we need to watch what McCain does toward the middle of October. If he makes appearances here, that tends to indicate the campaign's internal numbers are not looking good, but the campaign believes he'll be focusing on closer races in other states where the delegate numbers are higher. While McCain has a very slight lead in Indiana, that's not the case across the country. A new CBS poll released Wednesday night shows Obama with a nine point lead. Fifty percent of likely voters support him; 41 percent support McCain. six percent were undecided. The poll has a three point margin of error. Monday, Oct 6 at 3:21 PM Al, the independent wrote ...This tax thing is stupid. So tax supposed to be less under Republican? Then why are we suffering now? Tax is supposed to be higher under democrat? Then how come we were doing so well under Clinton. Stupid Republican does not understand that it's better to pay some tax and have a healthy economy. A good surplus economy helps everybody and offsets any tax you might have paid. Thursday, Oct 2 at 10:52 PM wherehaveallthegoodmengone wrote ...I'm not a fan or either McCain or Obama, but when it comes down to it, Obama scares me to death. He claimed to have ignored certain things, when attending his church, like his minister's hatred of white America. He has Muslim ties and those ties are strong. Usually the only way to leave Islam is by death. I don't care if a man is black or white, just don't be radical, re: race, and remember, "one nation, under GOD". Given those two things, I have to vote McCain. Thursday, Oct 2 at 5:07 PM Ryan wrote ...Life-long Republican. Voting Obama this year! Thursday, Oct 2 at 11:12 AM Frank wrote ...Ex Republican, and I'm voting for Obama. Thursday, Oct 2 at 10:33 AM to John T wrote ...I would much rather have an older person for president than one who doesn't know which way is up. That's the problem with the younger generations that are supporting Obama, they don't have the ability to think for themselves. Understanding taxes put it correctly. As far as the people who can only regurgitate what the media tells them and can't break away from party thinking, education would really help them to see the light. Thursday, Oct 2 at 8:14 AM Obama Supporter wrote ...McCain idealogy clearly sucks! Thursday, Oct 2 at 7:54 AM Tired of Regannomics wrote ...Its time to move forward. McSame was wrong about deregulation and wrong about having a one year freeze. It is time for the republicans to own there failures and time for the liberals to move this economy and country forward. Its all about checks and balances the republicans had 8 years now its time for the democrates to have a turn. Thursday, Oct 2 at 7:10 AM John T. wrote ...Most older people are more experience> Proven fact. But do we need another "old guy" leading the country. He and Bush, the OLD CONGRESS are out of touch with the real world. I am not saying that Barack Obama is the better or worst choice but can he do any worst then the old war horses in office now? Time will tell. Good luck to both!! Thursday, Oct 2 at 6:03 AM McCain vote for sure wrote ...On a resume McCain is better. Something called Experience and a proven Record, something Obama does not have. McCain has great judgment even when it is not popular, talking about the surge, where Obama was so wrong about it. McCain knew exactly what to say to the Russians when they invaded Georgia, Obama said it wrong the first and second day, then on the third got it right! We need some one to get it right the first time! McCain has worked across the aisle, when has Obama ever? Thursday, Oct 2 at 6:02 AM Understanding taxes wrote ...Obama like many Democrats, is relying on the general lack of understanding of how taxes work. They want you to think that they are taxing someone else. There is only one group of Americans that pay taxes, that is the individual tax payer. Yes, you can tax companies and corporations but they are not the ones who pay the taxes. The taxes are paid by the people who buy their products or use their services. If you raise taxes on businesses they have no choice but to add the cost into the prices of t Add a commentMost Popular
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Wednesday, Oct 8 at 8:08 AM Epley wrote ...
Remember it is the congress and senate that runs the country and who are they Democrats. This scares me. Yes the president is the final so but if he does not pass the bill it goes back to the house and senate to make changes. The only way for us to turn this around is to get rid of everyone in the house and Congress and start over fresh with individuals that can work together. Go McCain