(WSBT) The latest poll shows Governor Mitch Daniels trailing his Democratic challengers, but some political experts say that could change if his property tax plan is a success.

The poll conducted by an Indianapolis newspaper and TV station shows Jim Schellinger and Jill Long Thompson could defeat Daniels by a small margin.

At this point, some political experts say almost any Hoosier would have a good chance of beating Daniels because of his high disapproval rating.

The poll shows half of Hoosiers are not satisfied with Daniels' performance, particularly when it comes to leasing the Indiana Toll Road and changing to Daylight Saving Time.

"Traditionally, if the incumbent drops below 50 percent, the incumbent is regarded as in trouble," said Jack Colwell, a South Bend Tribune political columnist.

He says property taxes could be another big issue.

"So many people around the state are displeased with their property taxes and that's an area the governor could improve," said Colwell.

The poll shows Democratic challengers Jill Long Thompson and Jim Schellinger would narrowly beat Daniels.

"That is very encouraging," said Thompson. "I think it's because of the tax issue."

And both say they're ready to make changes.

"We should get away from the Band-aid approach to solving property taxes and address the larger issues of the need to reform tax structure in Indiana," said Thompson.

"Ultimately, his plan is going to force local governments to increase the income tax, so I'm not sure the way to solve the property tax crisis is through increasing other taxes," said Schellinger.

But Schellinger points out, "For most people though, this governor's race is just beginning."

Colwell says it's anyone's race, especially if Daniels' property tax plan passes.

"It's not a done deal. The governor has time," said Colwell.

Colwell says there are two other key factors in this race: who raises the most money and whether the Democrats can get through the primary without losing party votes. He says it's in their best interest to get along, so they can continue to retain a large number of anti-Mitch votes.