South Bend area professors think federal stimulus package would help economy

By YaVONDA SMALLS, Tribune Staff Writer

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By Beth Boehne

SOUTH BEND — With unemployment and housing troubles hovering like a dark cloud over our economy, a stimulus package would be music to the ears of consumers.

Granted, it won’t fix all the nation’s problems, said Jeffrey Bergstrand, professor in the department of finance in the Mendoza College of Business at the University of Notre Dame.

In fact, a stimulus package totaling around $100 billion would be merely a small percentage of the size of the economy — about $13 trillion, he said.

“But it will cushion the blow for a good deal of the middle class,” Bergstrand said.

Consumers saw key tax cuts in 2001 and 2003, Bergstrand said. Now, financial spurring is necessary at a time when monthly housing starts are at a 10-year-low, he said. Higher oil prices last year also helped push inflation up to the highest level in 17 years, he said.

Fourth quarter results will likely indicate how slow our economic growth has become, he said. And the first half of this year won’t be too different, he noted, adding that we’ll likely see a rise in the unemployment rate in the next six months.

Of course, adding salt to the wound is decreased consumer spending and the ongoing supbrime lending crisis.

“The evidence seems to be coming in more and more,” Bergstrand said.

The Federal Reserve has done its part by cutting rates, but it often takes a long time before it spurs the economy, he said.

“Things like this (stimulus package) can have a quick impact up on the economy,” he said. “It can get money into the hands of consumers pretty quickly.”

And whether help comes in the specific form of food stamps or in the form of tax rebates that consumers could easily blow on a pair of shoes, it’s boosting the economy in one way or another, said Grant Black, director of Bureau of Business and Economic Research and assistant professor of economics at Indiana University South Bend.

“Spending is spending,” Black said.

So there should be strong bipartisan support for some type of package, said Notre Dame’s Bergstrand. It only makes sense, since an unstable economy affects consumers across the board.

“I think it’s appropriate for the government to respond,” said IUSB’s Black, “if we believe we are in a situation that could warrant that.”

Thursday, Jan 24 at 3:05 PM Anonymous wrote ...

Obviously, someone has there head up there four-corner contact. The stimulus is need ahora! (now). Just goes to show if your among the wealthy timing means nothing to you because your in good standing. God help the rest of us

Thursday, Jan 24 at 12:43 PM Common Sense wrote ...

The "rumors" of the talks now say the rebates will be $300 per person AND the rebates wouldn't be issued until June. Now I'm no politician but someone tell me how in the world $300 in June is supposed to help a potential recession NOW?! And how it can be the same price as it was years ago (just gas prices alone should afford MORE than that same amount). Someone tell me I'm thinking logically and congress is out of touch in this matter!

Friday, Jan 18 at 2:47 PM Jim wrote ...

Being lied to about the war... Price? 800 Billion into a sand pit Being lied to about trickle down economics and the "good for America corporate tax breaks..." Price? 9 Trillion in National Debt and Counting Being lied to about free trade... Price? 3 million manufacturing jobs gone Being lied to about not needing government oversight and regulation... Price? Tens of thousands of jobs and billions lost. Record housing foreclosures and the worst new construction starts in thirty years. Hav

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