Exclusive poll shows Jill Long Thompson widening lead in governor's race

by Jim Pinkerton (jmpinkerton@wsbt.com)

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Democratic candidates for governor Jill Long Thompson and Jim Schellinger.

Democratic candidates for governor Jill Long Thompson and Jim Schellinger. (Photos provided)

By Jim Pinkerton

Jill Long Thompson appears to be picking up steam in the Democratic race for Indiana governor. A new exclusive WSBT-South Bend Tribune poll shows the former congresswoman has widened the gap between her and challenger Jim Schellinger.

A little more than a week before the primary, Long Thompson now has a six point lead over Schellinger. Long Thompson would take 48 percent of the vote; Schellinger would get 42 percent. There are still 10 percent undecided. That's down from 17 percent in our last poll.

"It does look as if some of the undecided have moved into the Long Thompson category so that's not a terribly good sign for Schellinger," said political science professor Elizabeth Bennion from IU South Bend.

Bennion says political ads may be playing a part in the widening gap. Long Thompson has been attacking Schellinger, and until lately, he's been focusing on feel-good ads that tout his South Bend roots.

"He's focused on his Hoosier values as he sees it and that can be really compelling to people, especially locally, but it may not play as well in Indianapolis," Bennion said.

The biggest shock to pollster Del Ali from Research 2000 is what happens when you look ahead to November. If the general election were held today, Long Thompson and Gov. Mitch Daniels are in a dead heat with 45 percent each.

The numbers are almost identical if Schellinger is the eventual nominee: Daniels with 45 percent and Schellinger with 44 percent.

"I actually thought Daniels would be over 50 percent, or if anything, he would have an 8 to 9 point lead," Ali said.

While that indicates the governor is vulnerable right now, the top issue for voters is taxes and state spending. Ali says that favors Daniels in the fall. But he says if economy, job creation and education move up, that works to the Democrats' advantage.

"I think a point here or a point there is probably not significant from any statistical standpoint, but I think I'm much more prepared to take on Gov. Daniels," Long Thompson said.

"There is no question the governor is vulnerable, but I truly believe, and I say this respectfully and humbly, that I am the candidate that can beat Mitch Daniels," Schellinger said.

Respondents were also asked to rate the job Gov. Daniels is doing. Forty-two percent of the people questioned say he's doing a good or excellent job, 49 percent say fair or poor.

Bennion says property tax relief may have actually backfired for the governor because so many mayors have said the state is just passing the buck to the cities and counties.

Bennion says the high undecided rate in this poll could be because people have been focused on the presidential race for the first time in 40 years and are just now focusing on the governor's race. She expects people to get a lot of calls and knocks on the door in the next week.

Tuesday, Apr 29 at 12:56 PM Josh wrote ...

Mitch is a lame duck, no doubt!

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Tuesday, Apr 29 at 11:02 AM anony wrote ...

Women who have 2 last names are SO INSECURE. Forget about jilly, she is TROUBLE! with a capital T!

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Sunday, Apr 27 at 11:01 PM Bob Richardson wrote ...

Jill Long Thompson cares about working people. Indiana may be doing better than other states, but, how many people can survive on 7.00 p/hr? Daniels is anti worker, period. And Jill may have lost some elections, but she has been a councilwomen in Valparaiso, a congresswoman from IN and Under Secretary of Agriculture. She holds degrees from more than one university and is a teacher. So, in my eyes she has the qualifications to take Indiana back for all of us!

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Sunday, Apr 27 at 6:08 PM Larry S wrote ...

Indiana is nearing 200 yearsas a state and has never had a woman as governor or senator. Only one other woman has served in Congress since Jill's initial term in 1989. Womem in Indiana politics are right up there with the FLDS women rights. Join the 21st century Indiana. White males are not the only qualification for running for office in the good ol' USA.

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Sunday, Apr 27 at 8:30 AM Jill Long Line of Losers wrote ...

Jill Long or Jill Thompson, I'm sorry, I am not going to call her by three names. Either she is proud to be married and wants to accept her husbands name or she wants to make the independent statement that she's her own woman, I don't care. Two names are stupid. She probably cannot make up her mind. Yea, let's have HER for a govenor. Maybe we could call her Jill Long Thompson Dorothy Snyder before it's all over. C'mon. Jill Blah,blah, blah. I am so sick of people who just want a political job!

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Sunday, Apr 27 at 12:37 AM Looking for a new govenor wrote ...

I wasn't sure I heard him right but SHAMEE clarified what it was I thought when I saw the Daniels ad. No he didn't inact any new taxes but he did put a hefty tax on cigarettes, raised the sales tax and blocked St. Joseph and Lake Counties from property tax relief solutions. I think Daniels has it in for Northern Indiana because we opposed him on the time change and the leasing of the Toll Road. Well it's time to remember all that our govenor has done for us and show him the door.

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Saturday, Apr 26 at 9:40 PM It's a shameless sham and we're the SHAMEE'S! wrote ...

If Jill is such hot property why isn't she in congress at this time? She has certainly run enough times. She was once, but she doesn't seem to get electedagain. Mitch's ads claim he has not introduced any NEW taxes. That's right. So far we have not seen a diaper tax, although a I personally believe such a tax would be fitting, but we have seen a raise in the state sales tax, there's a real incentive for border shoppers, and managed to revamp ST. Joe Co property taxes to hurt in new places.

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Saturday, Apr 26 at 8:29 PM Mick wrote ...

Jill Long Thompson's name is not hyphenated, and if it were....how does that indicate insecurity? That must be one of the stupidest comments I've seen in print.

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Saturday, Apr 26 at 1:55 PM Todd wrote ...

Not so fast there "wake up"..please check your facts. Indiana's unemployment rate is very average right now and happens to be twice as low as Michigan, and lower then Ohio and Illinois. Homes are being lost more by people taking sub prime mortgages then property taxes, which is not the governments fault, it is poor personal decisions. Our state economy compared to like states is pretty good right now. Where do you get your information? Don't believe campaign ads, get the facts yourself.

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Saturday, Apr 26 at 12:02 PM wake up wrote ...

People, start paying attn. to the campaign ads, Mitch is showing ads from 2006. The state is not in the "green", in fact, we are crumbling fast.Mitch is very much to blame for this. It is time we all vote and demand our state back, I am not sure which of the others are qualified either, but no body can do any worse than what Mitch has and is doing. Unemployment is sky high, houses are lost due to property taxes,help is being turned down due to no funds available. Vote, local and state.

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Saturday, Apr 26 at 9:28 AM Todd wrote ...

The toll road is leased..not sold. The toll road also does not belong to Northern Indiana, it belongs to the entire state. It was loosing money for several years and being ran in former years by crooked people who where skimming money off the top as I remember when I first moved up here. Although not popular, it was a good move and kept the Indiana budget in pretty good shape. Many states do this, so why is it such a crime here? Mitch has done much for us, but all you see is teh toll road.

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Friday, Apr 25 at 11:40 PM Dustin wrote ...

Why is it that the comments signed "anonymous" are always the worst spelled and have grammar so bad you can hardly tell what the message is supposed to be?

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Friday, Apr 25 at 11:00 PM Mark wrote ...

Go Jill Go!!!

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Friday, Apr 25 at 10:40 PM Anonymous wrote ...

good, saw Larry, Moe & Curly's endorsement in the trib. That is all I needed to see. I would vote for a lump a coal 1st. Jill needs to chill on the econ. At least Mitch hasn't sat on his hands going duh! hey Larry-hey Moe-Hey Curly

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Friday, Apr 25 at 10:19 PM nihil wrote ...

jim and jill seem to be copycatting the national campaign. i was hopeful we were going to have a clean primary with discussion of the issues. both dem candidates seemed like fine people with Indiana's welfare the top concern. instead they're cutting each other apart and ignoring the real villain GuvMitch, tollroad seller,Bush crony,prevaricator,busybody and general foul up. 4 more years and we all sink.jim and jill lighten up on each other. psssst. Mitch is the foe. go get him!

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Friday, Apr 25 at 9:27 PM boomer954 wrote ...

almost any body would make a better govenor than mitch daniels!!! we need a govenor that cares for all of indiana not just central& southern indiana!!!! all your man mitch wants from northern indiana is our money all your man mitch has done for northern indiana is he sold us out!!!! where's all the new jobs? they are in central& southern indiana that's where!! so for the sake of indiana DITCH MITCH!!! before he sells us out some more!!!

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Friday, Apr 25 at 9:06 PM I'll give him a chance wrote ...

Sometimes you just have to follow the guts. I hate Mitch's and I can't believe how many Jill Long Thompson must have to want to start cluttering the landscape with more of her bumper stickers that remain on stop signs long past the time she has crawled back into her cave waitng to come out for another election. My gut tells me that this Schellinger guy is going to be the way to go. Look at it like this, JLT has lost how many elections? Are YOU going to vote for Mirch? I guess that leaves.......

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Friday, Apr 25 at 8:02 PM watch out for Jill wrote ...

Jill Thompson is an anti-gun anti 2nd Amendment politician. A wolf in sheep's clothing. Watch out for her. (I personally do not vote for insecure women with hyphenated last names.)

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Friday, Apr 25 at 6:31 PM Todd wrote ...

I know some about Jim because I went to college in the Indy area, but only know very little about Jill. Didn't it take her many tries to get into office the first time? I could be wrong, but I just remember seeing her signs for several elections. I look forward to learning more about them.

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Friday, Apr 25 at 6:29 PM Todd wrote ...

There is not really enough know about the democrats yet to make a good judgment in my opinion. Both seem like good people, but I disagree with Jill's attacks on the Indiana economy. We are doing pretty well considering the times. We all know that people were mad at Mitch for the toll road sale..but it is finally making this state money instead of costing us and don't be fooled about people who say they will change DST. There is no way the federal DOT is going to change it back anytime soon.

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