Indiana: The new Tornado Alley?

by Rick Mecklenburg (rick@wsbt.com)

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Indiana has seven tornado days per year, which has some saying it should be included in Tornado Alley

Indiana has seven tornado days per year, which has some saying it should be included in Tornado Alley.

By Beth Boehne

Strong thunderstorms, hail, damaging winds and tornadoes are all part of severe weather season. There's some new evidence that our area is as prone to tornadoes as Texas and Oklahoma. Some experts are pushing for Indiana to be included in what's long been referred to as "Tornado Alley." We investigated, and found the numbers to back that up.

Many people don't think of Indiana as a part of Tornado Alley. But people in Crumstown, Dunlap, and certainly Nappanee, have seen it first hand. That has some experts saying it should be.

In the traditional Tornado Alley states of Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas, there are between seven and nine days per year that have tornadoes. Indiana has just as many — seven.

Dr. David Arnold is a severe weather expert who used to teach at Ball State and started the BSU Storm Chase Team. He agrees that Indiana should be considered a part of Tornado Alley.

“I think there's no question that Indiana is in Tornado Alley,” he told WSBT. "Here in Indiana, the frequency is very, very close — the same as it is out there.”

And there are numbers to prove it.

An Alabama company called VorTek publishes a list of the most tornado-prone cities and states. Indiana is ranked sixth in the country, behind the traditional Tornado Alley states of Mississippi, Arkansas and Oklahoma. Michigan is 20th.

Even more interesting, South Bend is the 14th most tornado-prone city in the country, and ranked higher than cities like Wichita and Houston.

"We take each tornado track and determine how much land it disturbs based on its length of the track and the width,” explained VorTek president Frank Tatum. “We take a particular site like the center of South Bend, we draw a 20-mile radius circle around that center point. In the case of South Bend, that extends up to Michigan, so we're including some tornadoes that are across the line. But anything inside that 20-mile radius we associate with the city of South Bend."

With these eye-opening statistics, Dr. Arnold hopes putting Indiana in Tornado Alley would raise awareness, prompting people to take weather warnings seriously.

But is there a downside? Some think that might mean higher insurance rates.

An insurance agent told WSBT rates are based more on history and not some type of formal designation.

"We look at a lot of different factors in determining rates,” said Deb Childs, an insurance agent in Mishawaka. “There's already a portion of your homeowner’s insurance rates that goes toward catastrophes. We look at what the history has been. We've had some wind storms lately, but that won't impact premiums in the near future.”

Dr. Arnold believes the near future could mean a very active severe weather season in Indiana.

"No question about it,” he said. “We’ve got a couple of things going on. First, it's a La Nina year and that affects the long wave pattern. The other thing is though that the arctic region is still quite cold for this time of year.”

Those ingredients create big temperature differences which are the ideal setup for severe storms.

This has been a very active and deadly severe weather season already across the United States. As of this week, there have been 697 tornado reports this year — almost twice the average of 368.

Unfortunately, those tornadoes have resulted in 69 deaths, almost twice the average of 38. For the entire year of 2005, there were 38 deaths, 67 in 2006, and already we are approaching last year's total of 81.

So far, most of the severe weather has been well to the south of Indiana, but as temperatures start warming up, the threat will start moving north.

For more information, go to the National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center.

Sunday, May 11 at 5:14 PM novice chaser wrote ...

How many tornadoes have hit Indiana this year so far? I live south of Terre Haute in the Wabash Valley and it has been unuasually quiet unlike the last couple of years where there was a warning about every week from March to May. And what I am kinda puzzled over is that all the squall lines that have come through this area significantly weaken and cause flooding, then strenghten once they leave the area. It kind of is scaring me. The year's been pretty strange.

Wednesday, May 7 at 12:08 AM D Negri wrote ...

I admit that I have even made fun of the fact that the weather predictions have been OFF......BUT I for one would rather be told that a storm is aproaching and have it disintegrate and NOT hit than NOT be told of anything and be caught with no protection! Please keep us informed of what is going on even when it is HIGH in the atmosphere and never comes down. Tornado alley or not keep us informed to the best of your ability

Sunday, May 4 at 11:04 PM Anonymous wrote ...

I've been caught in some nasty storms before. It's not fun. However, the media overplays their fancy weather equipment. How often are we put under a warning (thunderstorm) and the only thing bad is the rain? People get complacent. (Yes, I've five funnel clouds before---including a couple that touched down. I've been caught camping when a tornado came roaring through the campground). Do don't assume that all the comments are made by younger people. Most come from people who are complacent. Myself

Sunday, May 4 at 10:10 AM jim wrote ...

I can see alot of the younger ones comments here, they have not seen nasty weather, we have been lucky for a good many yrs actually, now the pendelum is swinging the other way, we are lucky to have the warnings we have now, back in the 50s 60s, things hit you out of the blue, how many people out there have a actual tornado shelter , a rootceller to get down and out of the way in, over the yrs have had my share of idiots that scoffed at my rootceller,seems they will learn the hard way

Saturday, May 3 at 11:18 AM tornado scare wrote ...

I'd say that if it's going to happen then we will have to make sure you are clear on it happening. The best weapons for weather is not wanting to be caught by it off gaurd. make sure you have phone numbers and cash on hand during a storm phones and atms may not work for several days after. filling up your car with gas is good also in case you have to flee from the destruction you don't want to have to stop for gas so fill up before a storm and watch WSBT for best gas prices in town.

Friday, May 2 at 11:08 PM Anonymous wrote ...

Loved the thunderstorm warning guys! It was so nasty outside! Yawn!

Friday, May 2 at 9:45 PM Anonymous wrote ...

'Never Knows' left out FOX 28's DOUBLE DOPPLER! (Is that anything like a double Whopper?)My grandmother was watching one of our great weather resource channels last year and when they said take cover, so she did. We found her three days later in the basement of her home sitting on a dirt floor with Ragsy her cat on her lap. She didn't go hungry because she was in her food pantry where she stores produce she cans in season. There never was a storm, at least one that warranted the action she took.

Friday, May 2 at 7:02 PM Anonymous wrote ...

Just blowing in the wind--I think you guys (WSBT) are using this as another excuse to interupt network programming with "Oh, the storm is moving in... better take cover" (meanwhile, it's doing nothing by raining outside...)

Friday, May 2 at 1:18 PM whatever wrote ...

Now they want to add us to tornado alley - great - insurance will cost more - but why not - flood zones are here along with other natural and human destructions. Another ploy to raise rates of some sort?

Friday, May 2 at 1:12 PM Pat wrote ...

Indiana has always been in Tornado alley, just not officially cosidered a part of it. Anyone remember Palm Sunday? How about the Tornado that wrecked parts of Kendallville? Just remember to find shelter in any bad weather, and to get a weather radio. Be safe Hoosiers.

Friday, May 2 at 12:06 AM Just being realistic wrote ...

Well, there's goes the neighborhood!

Thursday, May 1 at 9:26 PM Never know when it's really happening wrote ...

I GOT YOUR AWARENESS! You want to make people more aware, or you want them to take severe weather MORE SERIOUSLY? Maybe if the news was not constantly reporting what Could happen and stick to what IS happening people would react a whole lot differently. We're right back to hype. NDU got DOPPLER, SBT got SUPER DOPPLER. NDU can tell within a block of where it might hit, SBT can give you an actual street address. The news is the only thing we have to go by and more times than not the storms go by!

Thursday, May 1 at 8:10 PM Bill wrote ...

Remember we had a tonato about ten years with a force 4or5 come thru the north eastern portion of the county. So be prepaired. I remember the palm sunday tornato as I worked for General Telephone at the time.

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