Story Created:
May 19, 2008 at 7:22 PM EDT
Story Updated:
May 20, 2008 at 1:04 PM EDT
We may finally see some warmer temperatures this week, but what about the rest of the summer? Will it be hot and stormy or cool and wet? Let's find out! We're 'Stormtracking the Summer of 2008.'
The beach, the pool, picnics and festivals — some of the best things about summer. But this can also be a deadly time of year. Our peak severe weather season is in June and July, and it appears we may be in for a very active severe weather year.
As of May 19, 2008, there have already been 910 reports of tornadoes in the United States this year. Unfortunately, those tornadoes have killed 99 people — more deaths than in the entire years of 2005, 2006 and 2007.
So far, those have all been to the south, but that will change. That's because the air well to the north is much colder than usual, and this cold air diving south to meet the warm and humid air can result in some big storms.
In addition to some heavy storms, another potential summer danger is high heat. One way I gauge the heat of a summer is by the number of days in which the high temperature is at least 90. I do this because I think we can all agree that 90 degrees is hot.
On average, there are 11 days each summer with high temperatures of at least 90. In 1988, we had as many as 44 and as a few as just one back in 2004 and other years.
So what about this summer?
If history is a guide, there will be plenty of heat. I checked past years that were similar to this one in terms of precipitation and temperature. I found 13 similar years to help me make my forecast. In those 13 summers, the average number of 90-degree days was 16.
However, because there will likely be a lot of storms, that means higher humidity might limit the heat somewhat, so I am forecasting 14 days of temperatures of at least 90 degrees.
Thursday, Jul 10 at 4:53 PM faithful watcher from Mentone wrote ...
Rick, Carrie, and Andrew do a wonderful job, I enjoy watching their forcast. So I say KUDOS to all three and keep up the good work, just ignore those rude remarks made the people who don't have a clue when it is even raining outside!!!!!!!