Farmers could be new victims of economic crisis

by Troy Kehoe (tkehoe@wsbt.com)

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Wall Street's effect on farmers

As Wall Street continues to struggle, farmers are worried about the credit crunch and what that will mean for the nation's food supply. (WSBT photo)

ST. JOSEPH COUNTY — It was another wild ride on Wall Street to open the week, as the nation's credit crisis continues. Now there are new signs that the American farmer may be hit next.

Despair about a weakening global economy continued to sweep across Wall Street and around the globe. Investors worldwide have been selling off stocks, and experts say it's because they realize financial systems in the United States and other countries need more than a government bailout to turn things around.

Meanwhile, the nation's credit markets remain stagnant; a sure sign that banks are still too afraid to lend.

President Bush says the economy is going to be fine in the long run, but the taxpayer-supported economic rescue plan will take time to work. On Monday, Mr. Bush urged people to continue working, buying and selling.

Wall Street only seemed to get the last part of the message.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged as many as 800 points before closing with a loss of nearly 370 to end the day at 9,955. It's the first time in four years that the benchmark average has closed below the 10,000 mark.

It's not just stocks taking a hit either.

Commodities markets have posted huge losses over the last two weeks, and that has local farmers facing nearly unprecedented uncertainty.

It's harvest time in corn, soybean and wheat fields across America, and for St. Joseph County farmer Andy Laidig, that usually means a little slice of paradise.

"I've been doing this for about 10 years now. I'm the fourth generation in my family to farm. I think once you've been around it, it kind of gets in your blood," Laidig said while running his combine through a soybean field Monday afternoon.

But this year's crop includes an added, decidedly bitter taste of uncertainty.

"There's a lot of volatility in the markets right now," he said. "Back in June, we were close to $8 a bushel on corn on the Board of Trade. Now, after today's close, we're down close to $4. We've seen almost a 50% drop in the price of corn on the Board of Trade since the end of June. And on soybeans, we're probably 40% to 45% off where we were on our summer highs."

That's not all.

Fertilizer costs have tripled over the last two years. Fuel and feed costs have nearly doubled in the last 12 months.

It all adds up to a total cost increase of between 35% and 50% for the average farmer, says Laidig, who spent 7 years working as a banker before turning to farming full time.

Add the 50% cost increase to a 50% price decrease, and Laidig says there's not much left.

"There's just hardly any money in this right now, any profit margin," he said.

If something doesn't change soon, experts say farmers may not be the only ones being hit.

You could begin to see price increases, too, and not just on corn or soybeans.

"We've seen dramatic drops in the price of corn, soybeans, wheat, beef cattle, other kinds of agricultural goods, really just last week and this week alone," said Purdue University Agricultural Economist Dr. Chris Hurt. "In some cases, we've seen decreases of between 20% and 25%."

Of course, all that loss cuts into farmers' bottom lines.

"We thought this was going to be a really, very good, highly profitable year with probably record farm income across the United States. Now, we have really put that in jeopardy. This year we may barely cover the cost," said Dr. Hurt.

Often, at least some of that cost would be passed on consumers, says Hurt.

But this year, because food prices have already jumped by an average of 6% across the country this year, some retailers are hesitant to raise prices dramatically in a short amount of time again.

The uncertain commodity markets however, will ensure prices likely won't drop until the government bailout takes full effect.

"I think eventually, the bailout will help slow that increase to between 2% and 3% by the end of the year. But that's still an increase, not a decrease," said Hurt.

It's another cost to add to the pile for consumers already being hit from all sides.

For farmers like Laidig, it's all adding up to something else: a long, uncertain road ahead.

"We need to find a bottom here fairly soon, and we need some help immediately. We need to have a good idea of where we need to be within the next 3-4 months for planning and planting purposes. Maybe some farmers will plant less. Maybe some will plant different crops. Regardless, we're probably going to see more consolidation among farmers from this, and there will probably be some farmers who can't, or will choose not to keep going," Laidig said.

Still, there is at least some sense of renewed optimism among the agricultural industry that Friday's government bailout will eventually help stabilize commodity prices, too.

Just like on Wall Street, it hasn't happened yet.

The big question now: can farmers already struggling to get by hang on until it does?

"We're getting close to break-even levels now. As we look toward 2009, it's hard to even figure out what happens next," said Laidig.

Thursday, Oct 9 at 4:51 AM wow wrote ...

you know, i know, they know, what you're saying is the truth. farming today is not the farming of our grand-parents. when i see them out there with a horse and plow, then they'll know how hard farming WAS.

Wednesday, Oct 8 at 6:33 AM bee wrote ...

farmers are the NEW victims?who are the old ones.we are all the victims of a struggling economy.the price of everything is going up,you almost cant afford to buy food antmore.im a farmer of sorts. but i dont make money at it.i save money.i plant a garden,harvest walnuts(i MIGHT make some gas money there)with the price of everything going up you have to do something.get off your butt and do something positive for yourselves and quit crying.sorry farmers but were all in this together.

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 9:13 PM Ex Farmboy wrote ...

Sorry to any family farms I may have offended, I was talkin' to the big farms! and you know who you are! Cowboy up, and stop your crying.

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 7:38 PM Anonymous wrote ...

wow! now i've heard it all...farmers angainst famers

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 6:00 PM Ex Farmboy wrote ...

Lot's of legal "out of work" Americans to hire now! You farmers have perpetuated Illegal immigration for decades. These same immigrants are responsible for a lot of the credit crisis, stress on our schools and health care. You truly reap what you so. I grew up on the farm, and know what I'm talking about and so do YOU! get through it like the rest of us.

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 3:36 PM Put a smile on my face! wrote ...

Thank you Tom for putting a smile on my face. You are probably very right about our Most Lawabiding Taxpaying Citizen, "Bob". I'll be sure to stop at the grocery on the way home and pick my farmer hubby up some bon bons because he'll be soon done w/ harvest and will begin mooching off the rest of the tax payers like dear old Bob! Oh, as I ride around in my convertable because I am so rich! (kidding) :-)

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 3:32 PM Bob wrote ...

Real funny tom, you must be another one of those poor rich farmers. Poor baby. All things come full circle and this free lunch is under heavy scrutiny and you haven't heard the last of it. You can count on that.

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 3:16 PM tom wrote ...

people, dont take bob to serious. he is on a computer at the library after he just picked up his unemployement check.(nothing wrong with unemployement for hard working folks down on their luck)

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 3:13 PM Bob wrote ...

Oh I have a clue alright, I know exactly what I'm talking about. And don't give me all that "off season" BS. I know what goes on, and all the BS the farmers are spreading here only makes my point. Why should farmers be treated any different than other business, I will tell you, the powerful farm lobby and all the politco's who are bankrolling you with our tax dollars. The rich farmers I am talking about are active farmers. The jig is up! The free lunch is now under the microscope.

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 2:27 PM Angry with Bob wrote ...

10:39 am Bob you say that you are involved in farming ?? If so why do you say it is a 4-5 months out of the year job ? My husband and I farm and we do it all year long there is planting of row crops, harvesting of mint, harvest of row crops and in the mean time there is hauling of all grains to elavators, shop work, you name it . You must be a very small operation that yes this all may not affect you like it does us bigger guys. Used to pay $75 per ac cash rent now were upto $150.00 - $175.00

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 2:27 PM Sherry wrote ...

Bob, there you go again! Assuming farmers are NOT taxpayers. They pay all kinds of taxes. And who are you to make the comment about them taking in all this money when it appears you are a blood-sucking landlord. I am almost certain that you don't give them a break on their cash rent depending on their financial status from year to year. So quit "crying" the blues for yourself. FYI-Farmers should be receiving their subsidies this week to finish out 2008!

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 2:21 PM To Bob!!! wrote ...

I am married to a grain farmer and I am sorry, he works hard 12 months out of the year. They truck beans and corn on the off season, work on the grain bins, work on machinery and etc. These "rich" farmers that you speak of, are the ones that have sold their land to retire on. The working farmers are NOT rich. You need to get a clue! Obviously, you were not a very good farmer!! My husband is a hardworking farmer that works MANY long hours. Shame on your for putting the farmers down!!

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 1:43 PM Bob wrote ...

To all who are really interested in just how much some of our area farmers are getting directly from the taxpayer, this is one link the farmers do not want you to go to: http://farm.ewg.org/farm/addrsearch.php?s=yup&stab=US&city=south bend&c=See Recipients&zip=&last=&first=&fullname=

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 1:31 PM Bob wrote ...

To all you people who think I don't know all about farming. I was raised on a grain farm, I cash rent several hundred acres out each year that I own, and see just how tough farmers have it first hand. Most of the farmers I know are very rich, go on long vacations in the summer and down south in the winter. Farming and all the subsidies associated with it have become one of the biggest taxpayer funded ripoffs ever. Why else to you think most of the politicians in washington own farmland?

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 1:10 PM Bob wrote ...

To DH, you are so full of BS. The majority of farmers are no better the the fat cat CEO's ripping off the American taxpayer every chance they get. Grain farming is a part time job and is proped up every year with tax payer subsidies. Go peddle your BS somewhere else, the taxpaying public is no longer buying it.

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 12:47 PM BZ wrote ...

Hey Bob, remember what you said when you are shoving food into you mouth! You are sadly mistaken.

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 12:38 PM Sherry wrote ...

Bob your stupidity is shining through. You should not speak out on something you know nothing about! A farmer wears many hats. They don't have someone else run the show for them. As far as farmers making a profit, you are very wrong about that ! Commodity Prices have been deflated for several years, but their costs have continued to rise for fertilizer, seed, fuel, and whatever else they need to stay productive. They can't just "shop" anywhere for what they need. Stay better informed !!

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 11:48 AM tom wrote ...

Bob, while i agree farmers cry the blues even when things are going good. I would disagree that they dont work very hard throughout the year. you obviously dont understand how the American Farmer means so much to this country and without them are way of living would drastically be different and not in a positive way

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 11:13 AM DH wrote ...

to bob10:39 Farming is a full time job, and a huge gamble. Without this industry you don't eat. Farmers are american heros and deserve way more respect then you have given!

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 11:08 AM Anonymous wrote ...

This is nothing other than MORE Democratic BS. Farmers get paid for not planting crops and then turn around and raise the cost to the consumer of the crops they do plant. Then they wine all the way to the bank in their new $40,000 pick ups they buy and write off on their taxes along with all the other equipment they have for the tax payers to absorb.

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 9:39 AM Bob wrote ...

This is just plain BS, farmers realized an unpresidented profit last year and the year before and continued to see their subsidies increase. You will never hear a farmer say they are doing good and they get bailed out every year. Grain farmers only work about 4-5 months a year. How many other occupations do you know of that are part time and government guaranteed. Farmers have been perputuating this lie for years and most of them are multi-millionaires. Time to end all subsidies NOW!

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 8:31 AM Stanley Stolfus wrote ...

Now what are we gona do with all our equipment and seeds and all the hard work we put into the farm. If prices go down and nobody is buying anything it is gona be so horrible to leave and take another bussiness or work aa salaried assembly plant worker. We are not so well educated on modernism except the farming materials and we need some assistance on what to do before anything else goes bust. Our families are so large that we need to maintain the farm so we can feed them and then take off

Tuesday, Oct 7 at 3:55 AM Treb wrote ...

Could decent paying American jobs help? How about if American corporations just made reasonable profits? The Backbone of America (working class) is broken.

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